Paddy Power's Christmas Number One market remains a source of fascination whilst we wait for the December charts to take form. This is the state of play as of Monday afternoon:
Since we last looked at this market five days ago we have a notable new favourite. Once more avoiding having their fingers burned by the prospect of an incumbent Number One single proving immovable come Christmas, Paddy Power now make the current chart-topping record the favourite. Ariana Grande has crashed from 8.0 (7/1 in old money) into 3.0 (2/1). By contrast Lady Gaga and Bradley Cooper have gone from 4/1 favourites to 10/10 outsiders. Just by being dumped from the top.
Elton has come in a bit, to 6.0 from 8,0 suggesting money has been taken for him. And now their single is actually in the Top 40 Clean Bandit have moved from 13.0 into 8.5.
Yet there's one act who Paddy Power technically make the 8th favourite in the market which you don't see on the screengrab there. That option pops up in the Novelty Bets market just above it on their site. Their Oasis specials.
Yes, that's right. If you are so minded you can invest a fiver with Paddy Power, assume they remain in business for another 32 years and collect £45 as an investment. Assuming the Gallagher brothers never do bury the hatchet and re-form. But you'll note you can also back a random Oasis song to top the Christmas charts at odds of 13.0 (12/1). Which puts them at the same odds as Abba doing so. It's just that you can't back them in the Christmas Number One market, but instead have to back them to be Christmas Number One as a "special". Which is wonderfully joined up marketing.
Anyway, there is zero chance of any Oasis track topping the charts for Christmas. So if I were you I'd save your money. Or invest it in the prospects of alien life being discovered in 2020 or later. Which is currently priced at 1.05. Or a racing certainty in other words. Just what is it they know that we don't?